Atlanta Industrial Market Review – Q4'18
The industrial market in Atlanta continues to surge, with logistics space dominating the market, accounting for nearly 80% of all supply.
That share is only expected to increase as major tenants continue to ink deals for modern warehouses near interstates in the suburbs, while smaller industrial buildings inside of the perimeter are prized for last-mile connectivity. In removing low-functioning supply in the city core and adding build-to-suit facilities in the industrial nodes, overall vacancy has steadily fallen throughout the cycle, reaching a historical low in late 2018. With vacancies now on par with the national average, developers have started construction on a pipeline likely to set a cyclical high in 2019, with over 18 million SF in deliveries.
These conditions have created an environment where industrial landlords can push rents, and cumulative rent gains in Atlanta have been in the top third of the nation since the beginning of 2015, among major metros. Fundamentals are also attractive for investors, who have traded more than $2 billion in industrial assets each of the last five years, while setting a new all-time high in 2018 at over $3 billion. Pricing continues to appreciate, with the average over $60/SF in 2018. This has helped push cap rates below 7% for the first time in 2018.